Arces vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 5
VIA
34%
24%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JRO
1 - 4
ARC
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 1
TUD
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 1
ARC
50%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
5 - 2
ARC
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 3
PIO
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIA
4 - 2
UNI
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
BOS
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JRO
0 - 0
UNI
28%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ISI
0 - 4
UNI
36%
20%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |