Arces vs Parquesol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 1
RUE
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BET
3 - 1
ARC
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 0
RIO
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UDS
4 - 1
ARC
62%
19%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 1
RAC
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parquesol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
BET
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
PAR
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
UDS
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 3
PAR
46%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
AGU
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |