Arces vs Parquesol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 2
ARC
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATO
3 - 3
ARC
74%
16%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 3
AGU
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 6
MED
12%
19%
69%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 1
RIO
28%
24%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parquesol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 0
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
5 - 1
MIG
67%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 5
UVA
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 0
PAR
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
UDS
62%
19%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |