Arces vs CD Medinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-134%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PIO
1 - 1
ARC
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ARC
3 - 0
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PED
2 - 4
ARC
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ARC
5 - 1
SJJ
16%
18%
66%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
ARC
51%
20%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Medinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MED
1 - 2
NIC
71%
16%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MED
2 - 2
BET
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
PIO
1 - 1
MED
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |