Arces vs La Cisterniga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
76%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ARC
2 - 3
BEL
38%
22%
41%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARC
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 0
RIO
20%
20%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MIG
4 - 2
ARC
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BOE
6 - 1
ARC
76%
16%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Cisterniga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CIS
11 - 0
MOJ
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BEL
2 - 3
CIS
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 0
CEC
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
CIS
10%
16%
75%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UDS
0 - 3
CIS
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |