Arces vs CD Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 3
ARC
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BET
0 - 1
ARC
42%
22%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
2 - 3
NIC
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MED
1 - 0
ARC
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
1 - 0
PIO
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BOS
3 - 1
RAC
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CDR
0 - 1
BOS
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 0
BOE
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
BOS
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BOS
3 - 2
PED
14%
18%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |