Arces vs Boecillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RAC
2 - 0
ARC
45%
22%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ARC
3 - 2
BOS
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 3
ARC
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BET
0 - 1
ARC
42%
22%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
2 - 3
NIC
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Boecillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BOE
2 - 2
AGU
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
BOE
34%
24%
41%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MIG
1 - 1
BOE
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BOE
1 - 0
RAC
43%
25%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 0
BOE
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |