Arces vs Universidad de Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1360%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 1
UNI
51%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BOE
1 - 1
ARC
53%
21%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 1
MED
77%
13%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PED
3 - 1
ARC
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 0
PAR
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad de Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BET
1 - 2
UVA
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
UVA
2 - 2
RIO
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
UDS
7 - 2
UVA
91%
7%
3%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
UVA
0 - 1
RAC
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
UVA
68%
16%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |