Arces vs Universidad de Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1268%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
6 - 0
ARC
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 0
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BOE
0 - 0
ARC
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ARC
4 - 3
PED
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MIG
1 - 3
ARC
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad de Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
UVA
7 - 1
VIC
72%
18%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 4
UVA
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UVA
2 - 0
ARR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
RUE
0 - 2
UVA
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
UVA
3 - 0
CIS
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |