Arces vs M. Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+414%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 0
ARC
60%
22%
18%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 4
UVA
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
6 - 0
ARC
30%
23%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 3
BOE
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UDS
1 - 1
ARC
43%
21%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
M. Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MIG
3 - 3
RAY
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIG
2 - 0
RAC
19%
22%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MIG
2 - 2
UVA
13%
17%
71%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
MIG
52%
21%
27%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOE
2 - 0
MIG
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |