Arces vs M. Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+422%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
UVA
4 - 0
ARC
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 3
AGU
14%
17%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
ARC
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 1
BOE
41%
23%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PED
0 - 1
ARC
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
M. Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
MIG
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MIG
0 - 4
BOE
48%
22%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PED
0 - 1
MIG
69%
17%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIA
0 - 0
MIG
24%
21%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MIG
4 - 0
SAN
54%
20%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |