C.D. Apolo vs Balompié Alfafar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Apolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
APO
9 - 2
SAN
85%
10%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 4
APO
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
APO
5 - 0
CUE
59%
19%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
JUC
1 - 1
APO
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
APO
3 - 0
MAS
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Balompié Alfafar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
BON
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 3
BAL
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
MAL
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
BAL
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
NAZ
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |