CD Apedem vs El Carpio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Apedem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
APE
2 - 1
PAL
26%
24%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MIR
1 - 1
APE
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
APE
4 - 4
REC
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CDA
1 - 1
APE
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
RUT
0 - 3
APE
42%
25%
34%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
El Carpio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 2
ELC
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ELC
0 - 1
FCA
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PUE
4 - 1
ELC
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ELC
1 - 0
HIN
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 3
ELC
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |