Apademar vs Lucecor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apademar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAQ
2 - 1
CDA
36%
22%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 2
MON
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
CDA
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 4
ADF
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -3 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ATC
1 - 0
CDA
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lucecor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
LUC
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 2
ADF
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
LUC
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
COS
21%
22%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 3
LUC
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |