Copa Peru First Round Quarter-finals
Global 5-0
Ángeles Negros vs Defensor Laure Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Laure Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PIR
2 - 2
DLS
85%
12%
4%
|
17 | 65 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
DLS
2 - 2
PIR
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 65 | 49 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DLS
2 - 1
BIN
2%
6%
92%
|
15 | 72 | 57 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BIN
4 - 0
DLS
91%
8%
1%
|
15 | 72 | 57 | 0 |