Almoradi B vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almoradi B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 5
ALM
22%
21%
58%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 3
CRE
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
UDA
0 - 0
ALM
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
GRU
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
BEN
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
SGU
53%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPO
17%
20%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DNA
1 - 3
SPO
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 1
BOR
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CLU
1 - 1
SPO
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |