CD Algar vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Algar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 0
CDA
71%
17%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CDA
2 - 3
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CDA
1 - 0
BAL
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
YEC
1 - 2
CDA
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CDA
3 - 0
NVL
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
LOR
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
EGP
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
MIN
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |