CD Algar vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Algar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LAU
2 - 1
CDA
66%
19%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CDA
0 - 0
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CIE
2 - 1
CDA
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
CDA
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CDA
0 - 1
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
4 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOR
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
IMP
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 2
MUL
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MAZ
2 - 5
LOR
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |