CD Alfaro vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
72.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AGO
1 - 1
ALF
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 1
VIA
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 3
ALF
13%
19%
69%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 1
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NAX
5 - 3
ALF
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 1
HAR
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 4
VAR
36%
23%
42%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 1
ARN
93%
6%
2%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
VAR
5%
12%
83%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
8 - 0
VIL
94%
5%
1%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | +1 |