CD Alfaro vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
78.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 0
ALF
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 0
UDL
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 2
BEA
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
2 - 1
ALF
58%
22%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 3
TAR
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 1
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
MAL
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
GRA
23%
24%
52%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
IBI
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |