Alfarense vs Sporting de Manises A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 6
ALF
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 4
ALF
6%
12%
82%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALF
5 - 0
MAL
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 3
ALF
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALF
8 - 0
CLU
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting de Manises A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 4
MAL
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 2
SPO
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
CLU
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALD
4 - 0
SPO
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 2
RIB
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |