Alfa vs Union el Rastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
5 - 0
ALF
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 2
MAR
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALF
3 - 0
ORC
61%
18%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ATV
1 - 1
ALF
29%
21%
51%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALF
4 - 2
JUV
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union el Rastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
URU
4 - 2
ESC
49%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CIU
5 - 2
URU
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
URU
0 - 4
BVC
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LEG
5 - 1
URU
30%
20%
51%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PVE
0 - 2
URU
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |