Alfa vs ADEF Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
65.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+159%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
ALF
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 0
GGB
19%
19%
62%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 0
ALF
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ORC
2 - 3
ALF
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ALF
3 - 4
ATV
38%
21%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
EFU
6 - 2
CHA
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
EFU
25%
20%
55%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
EFU
2 - 1
PRO
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
EFU
30%
22%
49%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
EFU
3 - 2
GGB
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |