CD Alesves vs La Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alesves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
CDA
1 - 1
ZAR
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ACD
1 - 1
CDA
39%
24%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CDA
2 - 0
CAV
21%
23%
57%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COR
2 - 0
CDA
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CDA
1 - 3
CDC
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
La Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
LAP
1 - 3
CDC
39%
25%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ZAR
2 - 0
LAP
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LAP
1 - 0
ACD
54%
23%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CAV
5 - 0
LAP
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LAP
2 - 2
COR
34%
26%
40%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |