CD Alesves vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alesves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CDO
1 - 0
CDA
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CDA
1 - 0
BID
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 1
CDA
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CDA
1 - 0
PEN
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ZIR
2 - 1
CDA
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 0
LOU
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABL
2 - 2
ALU
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 1
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CDL
3 - 1
ALU
36%
21%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 1
AOI
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |