CD Aleste vs Unión Arroyo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aleste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOE
2 - 2
ALE
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALE
0 - 7
ZAF
32%
21%
48%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TUD
1 - 1
ALE
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 2
SAN
59%
19%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
ALE
41%
21%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ARR
3 - 1
TUD
10%
14%
75%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ARR
2 - 2
SAN
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
4 - 1
ARR
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 0
UDS
17%
18%
65%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RVA
3 - 0
ARR
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |