C.D. Alcázar B vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Alcázar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
REC
6 - 1
CDA
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 1
CDA
58%
22%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CDA
0 - 0
ALM
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 0
CDA
61%
22%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CDA
3 - 3
LAS
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ATC
0 - 0
CDE
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ATC
0 - 0
CIU
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CDV
1 - 1
ATC
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
ATC
35%
25%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ATC
0 - 0
UDV
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |