CD Alberca vs Sporting de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BLA
2 - 2
ALB
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 1
SPO
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LFC
0 - 1
ALB
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 1
ALB
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ESP
4 - 3
ALC
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
BEN
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BLA
0 - 1
ESP
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
SPO
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LFC
1 - 0
ESP
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |