CD Alberca vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALB
67%
19%
15%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
AFC
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 2
ALB
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 3
LOR
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
JUM
0 - 1
ALB
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 2
ARC
68%
17%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 2
VIL
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 4
MEN
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |