CD Alberca vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CDB
3 - 1
ALB
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 1
ALC
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JAV
3 - 1
ALB
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
CAR
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
JUM
1 - 0
ALB
39%
22%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 2
LIS
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 1
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
VIL
35%
22%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 0
IFA
91%
6%
2%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
6 - 1
CDB
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |