A. Castellae vs Frias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Castellae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 0
ALB
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
BUR
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TRE
1 - 4
ALB
40%
22%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 1
BEB
12%
16%
73%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FEL
4 - 2
ALB
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FRI
2 - 1
MON
41%
21%
37%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CDR
10 - 1
FRI
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FRI
0 - 8
BUR
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CER
0 - 1
FRI
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 5
INT
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |