A. Castellae vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
42.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Castellae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 1
ALB
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 0
TRE
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BEB
4 - 0
ALB
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 0
FEL
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
ALB
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 0
MON
55%
21%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CDR
2 - 0
CAP
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 0
BUR
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CER
0 - 2
CAP
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
CAP
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |