CD Alameda MESA U19 vs UB Conquense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
15º
7º
81
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alameda MESA U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
JES
0 - 3
ALA
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
ODE
63%
18%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CFT
2 - 1
ALA
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
CDT
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ARG
0 - 1
UBC
13%
18%
70%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UBC
6 - 1
JES
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
UBC
2 - 1
CDA
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ODE
1 - 6
UBC
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UBC
2 - 0
CAZ
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |