CD Alameda MESA U19 vs Arges U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
15º
7º
44
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alameda MESA U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 1
ALA
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
CAZ
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
APU
2 - 3
ALA
44%
21%
34%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 3
TOL
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ADI
1 - 1
ALA
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arges U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
JES
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ODE
2 - 2
ARG
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 1
CFT
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 3
ARG
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
ALM
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |