Salerm Puente Genil vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LAP
0 - 1
CDA
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CIS
0 - 2
CDA
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CDA
0 - 0
POZ
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
UTR
3 - 1
CDA
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CDA
4 - 1
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
CDL
0 - 3
SEV
8%
18%
74%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CDL
1 - 1
CIS
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
POZ
1 - 1
CDL
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CDL
4 - 1
UTR
39%
28%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 2
CDL
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |