Salerm Puente Genil vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
CDA
58%
23%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 0
UDM
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PIL
0 - 0
CDA
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
4 - 0
PEN
87%
10%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDP
0 - 1
CDA
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 0
UDM
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
CDL
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 1
ADS
54%
22%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
CDL
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDL
0 - 0
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |