Salerm Puente Genil vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
12º
5º
30
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SEV
0 - 1
CDA
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 0
COR
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
SRQ
25%
26%
50%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CIS
3 - 2
CDA
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 2
POZ
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 0
ESP
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AYA
55%
23%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AYA
2 - 0
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
AYA
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 1
CAR
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |