Castillo de Locubin vs Martos Unión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
66.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
5 - 0
CDA
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 3
VIL
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
JIM
4 - 3
CDA
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDH
2 - 0
CDA
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 3
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Martos Unión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
CDH
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
MAR
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
LAG
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CPH
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDV
1 - 1
MAR
44%
21%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |