Castillo de Locubin vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VDJ
1 - 0
CDA
44%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
5 - 0
JIM
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDA
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 5
CDH
10%
16%
73%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 2
LAG
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 0
JOD
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
LAG
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
3 - 1
RJA
72%
15%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
LAG
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
5 - 1
JIM
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |