Castillo de Locubin vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
68.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CPH
1 - 4
CDA
61%
18%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 5
CDV
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UDC
2 - 0
CDA
71%
15%
14%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 1
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
5 - 0
CDA
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
0 - 3
CDH
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 5
LAG
9%
16%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 1
CPH
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDV
2 - 3
LAG
10%
15%
76%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LAG
5 - 2
UDC
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |