Castillo de Locubin vs Atlético Mengibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ADL
8 - 0
CDA
53%
22%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CDA
0 - 4
CDL
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CLU
5 - 0
CDA
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CDA
2 - 11
ESC
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CDA
2 - 1
CDA
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CDA
6 - 1
CDH
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
UDC
1 - 6
CDA
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CDA
4 - 1
ARJ
76%
16%
9%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
IBR
1 - 2
CDA
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ADL
2 - 2
CDA
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |