CCD Chain vs Sporting Guardés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
UDE
2 - 1
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAN
28%
25%
48%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 0
CHA
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 2
AMA
8%
18%
74%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ZAC
5 - 0
CHA
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Guardés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
MOS
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
UMI
65%
20%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |