CCD Chain vs Sporting Guardés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
CHA
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAN
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 2
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOS
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Guardés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAN
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 3
MOS
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 4
GUA
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAM
29%
22%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |