CCD Chain vs Sporting Guardés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
CAN
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
CHA
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAL
4 - 1
CHA
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Guardés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
GUA
48%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAL
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 4
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 0
LTA
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SES
1 - 0
GUA
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |