CCD Chain vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 2
CHA
42%
23%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAT
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 1
CHA
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEL
66%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 2
CAN
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
AMA
52%
23%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 2
MOS
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
AMA
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
CAM
47%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |