CDB Base vs UD Arroyofresno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+239%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDB Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 2
BBA
56%
20%
24%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BBA
1 - 3
FOM
15%
16%
69%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PBT
3 - 1
BBA
77%
13%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BBA
2 - 3
LTV
37%
21%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
BBA
44%
21%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Arroyofresno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AYF
0 - 1
EPB
19%
18%
62%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 2
AYF
61%
18%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AYF
2 - 2
MOR
44%
21%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VMS
5 - 5
AYF
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AYF
0 - 3
SPO
27%
21%
53%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |