CDB Base vs Pegaso Tres Cantos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+239%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDB Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LTV
1 - 4
BBA
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BBA
2 - 2
PER
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BBA
3 - 3
EPB
15%
16%
69%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
BBA
78%
12%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 0
BBA
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Pegaso Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PBT
2 - 3
EPB
28%
20%
52%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
PBT
31%
21%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PBT
1 - 5
MOR
61%
18%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VMS
1 - 2
PBT
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
PBT
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |