Cazzagobornato vs Oratorio Urago Mella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cazzagobornato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OME
0 - 1
CAZ
14%
19%
68%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 0
GIO
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 1
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 2
CAP
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAZ
27%
23%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Oratorio Urago Mella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ORA
3 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 3
ORA
51%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ORA
2 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ORA
1 - 1
SER
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOD
0 - 0
ORA
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |