Cazzagobornato vs Gavardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cazzagobornato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAZ
15%
19%
67%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 1
CAZ
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 1
PIA
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAZ
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
3 - 2
ORA
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gavardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 2
GAV
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
0 - 3
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 0
GAV
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
0 - 0
UNI
28%
23%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
GAV
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |