UD Cazorla vs CD Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Cazorla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 2
CAZ
49%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
MAN
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IDJ
1 - 4
CAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
CDA
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ADL
2 - 1
CAZ
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
BAE
35%
23%
43%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
CDV
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDH
0 - 1
CDV
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 1
CDT
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
CDV
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |